April revenue surges to record $1.3 billion

SOURCES: Economic Analysis and Tax Research, Department of Finance and Administration *Includes severance, corporate franchise, real estate transfer, dyed diesel and other taxes
SOURCES: Economic Analysis and Tax Research, Department of Finance and Administration *Includes severance, corporate franchise, real estate transfer, dyed diesel and other taxes

Fueled by larger than expected individual income and corporate income tax collections, Arkansas's general revenue in April surged by $378.7 million, or 40%, over the same month a year ago to $1.3 billion to set a state record for any month.

Last month's tax collections beat the state's forecast by $576 million, or 76.7%, the state Department of Finance and Administration reported Tuesday in its monthly revenue report.

The state's sales and use tax collections in April slipped compared with the collections fueled by federal stimulus in the same month a year ago, but they still exceeded the state's forecast.

The state's previous record for total general revenues for April or any month in the state's history is $958.8 million in April of 2019, said Whitney McLaughlin, a tax analyst for the finance department.

Besides individual and corporate income tax collections significantly exceeding expectations in April, growth in payroll withholding tax collections for the month indicate a strong labor market across the state, said state Department of Finance and Administration Department Secretary Larry Walther.

"Overall, we continue to see stronger-than-expected economic growth compared to projections," he said in a written statement.

Gov. Asa Hutchinson said Tuesday the state's economy is booming, and the higher prices of consumer goods have increased the state's revenue more than expected.

"[T]he national economic outlook has significant uncertainty, and there is a need for caution as we look at options for the end of the year surplus," the Republican governor said in a written statement.

In the 2021 regular session, the Republican-dominated General Assembly and Hutchinson enacted a Revenue Stabilization Act to distribute $5.84 billion in general revenue in fiscal 2022 to state-supported programs, such as human services, public schools, colleges and universities and correctional programs.

Tax refunds and some special government expenditures are taken off the top of total general revenue collections, leaving a net amount that state agencies are allowed to spend up to their maximum distribution under the Revenue Stabilization Act.

The state's chief economic forecaster, John Shelnutt, said Tuesday that the state's general revenue surplus may exceed $1.25 billion by the end of fiscal 2022 on June 30, but he doubts the general revenue surplus will exceed $1.5 billion.

Shelnutt said the department will revise its general revenue forecasts for fiscal year 2022 through fiscal year 2025 later this month.

April is the 10th month of fiscal 2022.

During the first 10 months in fiscal 2022, the state's net general revenues increased by $736.1 million, or 13.5%, over the same period in fiscal 2021 and beat the state's forecast by $987.9 million, or 19%.

Shelnutt said he's shocked by the state's general revenue tax collections in April, but the collections have been volatile over the past two years amid the COVID-19 pandemic.

He said he expects other states to begin soon reporting similar increases in their tax collections as well as similar large surpluses.

In Arkansas, this year's income tax filing and payment deadline was April 18 and last year's deadline was May 17, state Department of Finance and Administration spokesman Scott Hardin said.

SPECIAL SESSION

On April 22, Hutchinson said the options for using part of the state's general revenue surplus include accelerating broadband deployment in the state, providing more money for public school facilities because of the rising cost of construction, and/or providing tax relief to help Arkansans with financial pressures resulting from the increased rate of inflation.

Hutchinson said Tuesday that taxpayers "need and deserve at least a portion of the surplus to be returned to them because the state should not be generating this large of a surplus.

"As to the likelihood of a special session, the revenue report increases the possibility of one, but it is too early to make that decision," he said. "I do not anticipate calling a special session before June 30, 2022."

House Revenue and Taxation Committee Chairman Joe Jett, R-Success, said he's not in favor of holding a special session to consider any tax cuts "until we get a clear-cut plan." He said he is looking at the possibility of changing the state's depreciation schedules to conform with the federal government's depreciation schedules to save many businesses a significant amount money.

"I'm not sure DF&A can implement a full rebate program," Jett said, so he said he's also looking at the possibility of creating an income tax credit on taxpayers' income taxes.

As to whether the Legislature should meet in special session to consider tax cuts and other matters such as increased state funding for expanding broadband access, Sen. Missy Irvin, R-Mountain View, said Tuesday in a text message to the Democrat-Gazette that "I prefer we wait till the regular session because I think we need a full policy discussion on tax policy and we need to continue reducing the income tax." She said she doesn't want to hastily decide tax policy on an economy suffering from high inflation.

"Sometimes, a special session narrows that discussion/debate," Irvin said.

She said she believes lawmakers can address the state's broadband rules, office and funding through the Arkansas Legislative Council.

The individual and corporate come tax cuts enacted in the Legislature's special session in December are projected by the finance department to reduce state general revenue by $135.25 million in fiscal 2022 that ends June 30, then gradually increase from $307.4 million in fiscal 2023 to $497.9 million in fiscal 2026.

Some of the individual and corporate income tax rates, enacted in the special session, are contingent on the state not tapping the state's $1.2 billion catastrophic reserve fund.

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