STUDY: Drought could last two decades

Climate models predicting a series of droughts over the next two decades are receiving widespread support in the scientific community which admits the future looks grim in regards to aridity and global warming, according to a study published in National Climate Change.

Washington Post does a good job of breaking down the study’s jargon, explaining that a statistical model based on sea surface temperatures has predicted past droughts including the Dust Bowl of the 1930s. That same model now predicts a series of droughts over the next 20 years in the United States.

Global warming will only exacerbate the arid conditions, said Aiguo Dai, the study’s author, who was unsurprised by drought conditions across much of the country in 2012.

“We can now be more confident that the models are correct,” Dai said, “but unfortunately, their predictions are dire.”

In the United States, the droughts can be attributed to a cold cycle in the eastern part of the Pacific Ocean which partially restricts precipitation, especially over the western portion of the country, according to the study.

Additional concern is possible future dryness in South America, southern Europe and Africa, Dai wrote.

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3 Responses to STUDY: Drought could last two decades

  1. Keith Owens says:

    So, I guess Global Warming was the cause of the Dust Bowl in the 1930s then. Oh, and what about the dire predictions of Global Cooling in the 1970s?!?! Still not buying any of it!

  2. jim lemon says:

    Well I don’t like cold weather, ice and snow etc. I don’t like crowds either. Guess I am just a grouch. Bah Hum Bug.

  3. The Lone Reader says:

    Let’s see if I got this straight. We are having a drought because it is cold in the Pacific but it is going to be worse because of global warming.

    This from the same science that can’t with any reasonable chance of success if it is going to rain tomorrow or not.

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